Is Ready to Talk Iran
By DENNIS B. ROSS [ Advisory Board member, UANI, United Against Nuclear ] Iran
SPECULATION about an Israeli strike against Iranian nuclear facilities is rife, but there is little discussion about whether diplomacy can still succeed, precluding the need for military action.
Many experts doubt that
Much has changed in the last three years. In January 2009, Iran was spreading its influence throughout the Middle East, and Arab leaders were reluctant to criticize
New American penalties on
Grain is sitting on ships that won’t unload their cargoes in Iranian ports because suppliers haven’t been paid; Iranian oil is being stored on tankers as Iran’s buyers demand discounts to purchase it; and even those countries that continue to do business with Iran are not paying in dollars.
The Obama administration initially sought genuine engagement with
Beginning in 2010,
The Obama administration has now created a situation in which diplomacy has a chance to succeed. It remains an open question whether it will.
Israel worries that it could lose its military option, and it may be reluctant to wait for diplomacy to bear fruit. That said, Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, have consistently called for “crippling sanctions,” reflecting a belief that
Still, it is unclear whether
Moreover, given Mr. Obama’s stated determination to prevent
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